← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 6

Bad Loans Threaten Argentina’s Next Engine of Economic Growth

Bad loans keep piling up in Argentina, dashing hopes that the economic pain unleashed by President Javier Milei’s harsh austerity program had already crested.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…