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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Moody’s Flags Rising Risks in Indonesia on Policy Uncertainty

Moody’s Ratings remains concerned about policy uncertainty and fiscal sustainability risks in Indonesia, reinforcing its cautious outlook and warning that downside risks are likely to persist.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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