Geopolitical··Severity 8
US air campaign against Iran running out of steam — Politico
According to the report, the conflict is unlikely to shift decisively without a major escalation, including the deployment of ground forces
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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