Geopolitical··Severity 8
IRGC video of retaliatory strikes on US targets in Jordan
The IRGC released a video of what they say were missiles launched by their naval forces targeting US aircraft in Jordan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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