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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Oil falls on report China pushing for end US-Iran war

Crude oil futures prices experienced a significant drop on Friday. Hopes for renewed peace talks between the United States and Iran emerged. Both Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures saw substantial weekly gains. Shipping disruptions in key waterways contributed to market volatility. Energy markets remain tight and sensitive to developing geopolitical events.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

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