Military··Severity 8
Russia was forced to launch special military operation — Putin
Russian President recalled the West's unfulfilled promise not to expand NATO's infrastructure eastward
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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