Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Huge crowds mourn Khamenei, Trump vows calm during funeral
Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and members of his family were killed in a US-Israeli air strike in February.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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