Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine is putting pressure on Russia . So why is the country defence minister being ousted now ?
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: cbc.ca
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