← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

Trump says Iranians getting 'very serious' in talks

Trump says Iranians getting 'very serious' in talks US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he had not decided on whether to launch major strikes on Iran as Tehran was now getting "very serious" in talks with Washington. "No, I haven't," Trump told journalists in the Oval Office when asked if he had made a decision, following reports that he was meeting advisors to discuss a large-scale operation. "Look, we're talking to them right now. I think they're getting more and more serious as the days go by, for maybe the obvious reason." US President Donald Trump is pictured in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on 21 July 2026 (Saul Loeb/AFP)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

27%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Checking access status…