Geopolitical··Severity 9
Ukraine opens probe into defence event after deadly Russian strike
Rare daytime missile attack on Kyiv killed at least 10 people on Friday
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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