Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: US launches 10th night of strikes; Tehran attacks Kuwait
Explosions reported in Iran's Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island, Chabahar and Konarak as US launches new wave of attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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