Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran reserves right to respond to Kiev’s attack on merchant ship — ambassador
Kazem Jalali noted that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov earlier held a phone call that focused largely on this topic
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Checking access status…