Geopolitical··Severity 9
Middle East: Civilians again under fire as US-Iran strikes continue
As the United States and Iran trade deadly attacks for a second week, the UN continues to call for de-escalation while highlighting the devastation caused to civilians and critical infrastructure across the Middle East.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: UN News
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