Geopolitical··Severity 8
Sudan Faces New Sanctions as Evidence of Atrocities Mounts
But countries remain unwilling to directly sanction foreign actors enabling the war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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