Geopolitical··Severity 8
Ukraine, Iran and how regional wars go global
Conflicts in Europe and Asia are overlapping and two rival blocs may be forming
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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