Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump paused attacks on Iran to make space for talks, US ambassador says
Neither the US nor Iran have launched attacks in the last two nights, after almost two weeks of tit-for-tat strikes risked derailing talks to permanently end the war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC Business
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