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Economic··Severity 7

Treasuries Post Weekly Advance as Inflation Optimism Prevails

The Treasury market eked out a gain this week as supportive inflation data prevailed over a rebound in oil prices, leading traders to mostly abandon bets on a July Federal Reserve interest-rate hike.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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