Military··Severity 8
Protests in Ukraine's cities against Zelensky's removal of defence minister
Ukraine's president has not explained Mykhailo Fedorov's dismissal, which is causing great upset among civil society and the military.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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