Economic··Severity 7
Goldman: Fed Unlikely to Surprise
Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle joins Bloomberg Open Interest to explain why the Fed is still likely to leave interest rates unchanged despite geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices. He breaks down the inflation outlook, why a surprise hike is unlikely, and why today's resilient consumer could weaken later this year. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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