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Military··Severity 6

Russia’s 201st military base in Tajikistan holds anti-terror drills

According to the Central Military District, special attention was paid to countering unmanned aerial vehicles

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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