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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Zelensky sacks army chief Oleksandr Syrsky after protests

Volodymyr Zelensky has bowed to pressure from the streets. Oleksandr Syrsky is no longer head of the Ukrainian armed forces, the Ukrainian president announced on Tuesday. The protests began five days ago following the sacking of Mykhailo Fedorov from his post as defence minister. Story by Daniel Quinlan.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

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