Geopolitical··Severity 6
Azerbaijani, Russian diplomats talk Baku-Moscow relations
"The meeting focused on political, economic, trade, humanitarian and other dimensions of Azerbaijani-Russian relations, regional and international security matters of mutual interest, as well as the post-conflict situation in the region," the report said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Escalation
Confirmation indicators: Increased troop movements along the border between Azerbaijan and Armenia, public statements by Azerbaijani officials threatening military action, and increased media coverage of tensions., Time horizon: 10
B
42%Status quo
Confirmation indicators: Increased troop movements along the border between Azerbaijan and Armenia, public statements by Azerbaijani officials threatening military action, and increased media coverage of tensions., Time horizon: 10
C
16%De-escalation
Confirmation indicators: Increased troop movements along the border between Azerbaijan and Armenia, public statements by Azerbaijani officials threatening military action, and increased media coverage of tensions., Time horizon: 10
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