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Geopolitical··Severity 6

US oil inventories fall to ‘precariously low’ level as Iran war disrupts supply

Decline could erode ability to supply Asian and European markets dependent on supplies from the Middle East

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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