← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

US strikes cause extensive damage on Iran’s Qeshm Island

Video from Iran's Qeshm Island shows widespread damage following US attacks.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…