Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukrainian pilot tracked Russian missile all the way to the border – Polish Defence Ministry
Polish Deputy Defence Minister Cezary Tomczyk has stated that a Ukrainian pilot tracked the Russian Kh-101 missile that crashed on Polish territory on 30 July until the very last moment, but was unable to shoot it down and was forced to turn back 20 seconds from the border.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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