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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Moyen Orient  : septième nuit de frappes entre les États - Unis et lIran , deux pétroliers auraient explosé sur des mines au détroit dOrmuz

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: leparisien.fr

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