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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Pakistan Adopts Wait-and-Watch Approach as US and Iran Return to Hostilities

Pakistan continues to view the Islamabad MoU that it facilitated as the most viable framework for de-escalation.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: The Diplomat

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