Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protests in support of ex-defence minister Fedorov: Kyiv march for dialogue and reforms announced
Dmytro Koziatynskyi, the veteran who called on Ukrainians to protest against the dismissal of former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov, has announced that a protest march in support of dialogue and defence reforms is to be held in Kyiv on the evening of 31 July and urged other cities to join in.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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