Geopolitical··Severity 8
Zelenskyy on impact of refinery strikes in Russia: more Russians want war to end
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes that as a result of Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russia's oil and gas sector, Ukraine is managing to shift public sentiment in Russian society and force Russia back to the negotiating table.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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