Natural··Severity 7
Magnitude 7.1 quake in Japan leaves several injured
The quake struck Kumamoto prefecture in the south-west and briefly triggered a tsunami alert.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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