Military··Severity 6
Does Cuba Really Have Iranian Drones?
Experts say Trump is laying the pretext for U.S. military action against the island.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
49%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
Checking access status…