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Military··Severity 9

Daily Memo: US-Iran Conflict Simmers, A Controversial Firing in Ukraine

U.S.-Iran latest. U.S. military strikes against Iran continued overnight, hitting not only coastal targets but also areas closer to Tehran and in the north. The U.S. also struck an oil tanker sailing toward Iran’s Kharg Island. Iran said it launched retaliatory attacks on U.S. military assets in Kuwait and Bahrain. Separately, Iraqi officials said five […] The post Daily Memo: US-Iran Conflict Simmers, A Controversial Firing in Ukraine appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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