Social··Severity 6
Ukrainian drone attack shuts down one of Russia's largest oil refineries
The Salavat petrochemical complex in the Urals, one of Russia's largest, halted operations on 14 July after a drone attack.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Checking access status…