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Geopolitical··Severity 6

FACTBOX: What we know about terror attack in Berlin, one dead, 29 injured

A man driving a small white van plowed into a crowd of people

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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