Киев не уведомил Трампа о планах атаковать российские аэродромы — Белый дом

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Kiev's attacks on Russian airfields are met with condemnation from the US and allies. Russia retaliates by escalating military operations in Ukraine, including increased airstrikes on civilian infrastructure. The escalation could trigger a broader conflict involving NATO countries. * Confirmation indicators: 1) A formal declaration of support for Ukraine from NATO or a major ally, followed by an immediate Russian response (e.g., missile strikes on Ukrainian cities). 2) Increased military deployments and exercises in Eastern Europe by Russia. 3) Public statements from high-ranking officials in the US and EU indicating a potential escalation in support for Ukraine. * Time horizon: 14 days to two weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The US administration continues to provide military and financi

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Kiev's attacks on Russian airfields are met with condemnation from the US and allies. Russia retaliates by escalating military operations in Ukraine, including increased airstrikes on civilian infrastructure. The escalation could trigger a broader conflict involving NATO countries. * Confirmation indicators: 1) A formal declaration of support for Ukraine from NATO or a major ally, followed by an immediate Russian response (e.g., missile strikes on Ukrainian cities). 2) Increased military deployments and exercises in Eastern Europe by Russia. 3) Public statements from high-ranking officials in the US and EU indicating a potential escalation in support for Ukraine. * Time horizon: 14 days to two weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The US administration continues to provide military and financi

Scenario Analysis Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Kiev's attacks on Russian airfields are met with condemnation from the US and allies. Russia retaliates by escalating military operations in Ukraine, including increased airstrikes on civilian infrastructure. The escalation could trigger a broader conflict involving NATO countries. * Confirmation indicators: 1) A formal declaration of support for Ukraine from NATO or a major ally, followed by an immediate Russian response (e.g., missile strikes on Ukrainian cities). 2) Increased military deployments and exercises in Eastern Europe by Russia. 3) Public statements from high-ranking officials in the US and EU indicating a potential escalation in support for Ukraine. * Time horizon: 14 days to two weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The US administration continues to provide military and financi