Social··Severity 6
Russia's Ryazan oil refinery suspends operations after Ukrainian attack – Reuters
According to Reuters, Russia's Ryazan oil refinery, one of the largest in the country, suspended the processing of crude oil on Wednesday 29 July following a drone attack and could remain shut for up to two weeks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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