Social··Severity 6
Fighting over Hormuz won't do Iran, US any good — Lavrov
"It’s hard to prognosticate" as regards how much longer the conflict around Iran may last, the Russian foreign minister noted
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
29%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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