Military··Severity 9
Iran targets military bases as US launches wave of strikes
Explosions were heard across Iran overnight, shortly after neighbouring Gulf states began to report attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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