Geopolitical··Severity 6
EU faces crumbling support for new Russia sanctions
National capitals refuse to support measures that could hurt big companies
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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