Geopolitical··Severity 6
Petro to give farewell speech amid Colombia transfer-of-power tensions
The outgoing president has called for protests as he continues to dispute the results of last month's election.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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