Geopolitical··Severity 6
Tehran slams Trump’s threat to use frozen Iranian assets as ‘incendiary’
President Trump says damages will be paid for by Iranian money that the US has 'in its possession, and controls'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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