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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Watch: Iran war cost the US $37.5bn so far, Hegseth says

Watch: Iran war cost the US $37.5bn so far, Hegseth says US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth said the Iran war has cost the United States $37.5bn so far, up from a previous estimate of nearly $29 billion in mid-May. US Secretary of War Pete Hegseth said the Iran war has cost the United States $37.5 billion so far, up from a previous estimate of nearly $29 billion in mid-May. pic.twitter.com/CRWp6xNRXJ — Middle East Eye (@MiddleEastEye) July 21, 2026

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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