Geopolitical··Severity 6
Philippine Vice President Duterte’s impeachment trial begins: What we know
Duterte faces charges of mishandling government funds and making threats during rift with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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