← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

Guyana ferry with 116 people on board capsizes; more than 50 rescued

Rescue operations for remaining passengers and crew ongoing, authorities say.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

25%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…