Geopolitical··Severity 6
Cover Story newsletter: How we chose the cover image
The thinking behind our design about Russia’s hybrid war
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: The Economist World
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