Geopolitical··Severity 6
Rare protests in Kyiv over dismissal of defence minister
Rare protests erupted in central Kyiv over Ukrainian President Zelenskyy’s dismissal of defence minister.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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