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Geopolitical··Severity 8

The Gulf nation that became Iran’s softest target

Kuwait, still scarred by the 1990 Iraqi invasion, has been repeatedly attacked by Tehran and its allies

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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