Military··Severity 9
Trump threatens Iran and Houthi rebels with 'major military punishment'
Iran and the United States threatened to intensify attacks on Thursday after Yemen's Houthi rebels struck Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, driving Brent crude above $100 a barrel and fuelling fears of a widening regional conflict and renewed pressure on the global economy.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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