Military··Severity 6
What we know about the Hamas disarmament deal announced by Trump
Palestinian militant group Hamas confirmed Friday that it had agreed to a deal with Israel that would lead to the group's disarmament in return for the gradual withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip. Here's what we know so far.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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