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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Russia targets hundreds of Ukrainian petrol stations

Missile and drone attacks on highly flammable fuel stops seen as retaliation for Kyiv’s strikes on refineries

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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